This probability to odds calculator helps convert the likelihood of success given specific odds ratios using PWin = A / (A + B), PLose = B / (A + B) formula.
The Probability of Winning Formula using odds notation A:B is a fundamental concept in probability theory and statistics.
Probability To Odds Calculator
A:B Odds Probability Calculator
Odds (A:B) | PWin Calculation | PWin | PLose Calculation | PLose |
---|---|---|---|---|
1:1 | 1/(1+1) | 0.500 | 1/(1+1) | 0.500 |
2:1 | 2/(2+1) | 0.667 | 1/(2+1) | 0.333 |
3:1 | 3/(3+1) | 0.750 | 1/(3+1) | 0.250 |
4:1 | 4/(4+1) | 0.800 | 1/(4+1) | 0.200 |
1:2 | 1/(1+2) | 0.333 | 2/(1+2) | 0.667 |
Probability To Odds Conversion Formula
PWin = A / (A + B)
Where:
- A represents favorable outcomes
- B represents unfavorable outcomes
- A:B represents the odds ratio for winning
Let’s say you have odds of 3:2 for winning a game:
- A = 3 (favorable outcomes)
- B = 2 (unfavorable outcomes): PWin = 3 / (3 + 2) PWin = 3/5 PWin = 0.60 or 60%
This means there's a 60% probability of winning with 3:2 odds.
Probability of Losing Formula (A:B)
The Probability of Losing Formula complements the winning probability and uses the same odds notation:
PLose = B / (A + B)
Where:
- A remains the favorable outcomes
- B remains the unfavorable outcomes
- A:B still represents the odds ratio for winning
With 3:2 odds:
PLose = 2 / (3 + 2)
PLose = 2/5
PLose = 0.40 or 40%
Verification of Formulas
Check is that PWin + PLose should always equal 1 (or 100%):
PWin + PLose = [A/(A+B)] + [B/(A+B)] = (A+B)/(A+B) = 1
Let’s explore various odds scenarios using both formulas:
- Even Odds (1:1)
- PWin = 1/(1+1) = 0.50 (50%)
- PLose = 1/(1+1) = 0.50 (50%)
- Favorable Odds (4:1)
- PWin = 4/(4+1) = 0.80 (80%)
- PLose = 1/(4+1) = 0.20 (20%)
- Unfavorable Odds (1:3)
- PWin = 1/(1+3) = 0.25 (25%)
- PLose = 3/(1+3) = 0.75 (75%)
How to Convert Probability To Odds
Step-by-Step Conversion Process
- Start with the probability (P)
- Calculate A:B ratio using:
- If P is probability of winning:
P = A/(A+B)
- Solve for A:B ratio
- If P is probability of winning:
Let’s convert a 75% (0.75) probability to odds:
- Given:
- P = 0.75
- Using PWin = A/(A+B)
- Solve for ratio: 0.75 = A/(A+B) 0.75(A+B) = A 0.75A + 0.75B = A 0.75B = 0.25A B = (0.25A)/0.75 B = A/3
- Therefore: A:B = 3:1, this means 3 favorable outcomes for every 1 unfavorable outcome
Converting 0.40 Probability to Odds
- Given:
- P = 0.40
- Using PWin = A/(A+B)
- Solve for ratio: 0.40 = A/(A+B) 0.40(A+B) = A 0.40A + 0.40B = A 0.40B = 0.60A B = (0.60A)/0.40 B = 1.5A
- Therefore: A:B = 2:3, this means 2 favorable outcomes for every 3 unfavorable outcomes
Verification Table
Initial Probability | Calculation Steps | Resulting Odds | Verification |
---|---|---|---|
0.75 | 0.75 = A/(A+B) | 3:1 | 3/(3+1) = 0.75 |
0.40 | 0.40 = A/(A+B) | 2:3 | 2/(2+3) = 0.40 |
0.60 | 0.60 = A/(A+B) | 3:2 | 3/(3+2) = 0.60 |
0.25 | 0.25 = A/(A+B) | 1:3 | 1/(1+3) = 0.25 |
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