This probability to odds calculator helps convert the likelihood of success given specific odds ratios using PWin = A / (A + B), PLose = B / (A + B) formula.

The Probability of Winning Formula using odds notation A:B is a fundamental concept in probability theory and statistics.

Probability To Odds Calculator

A:B Odds Probability Calculator

digits
Odds (A:B)PWin CalculationPWinPLose CalculationPLose
1:11/(1+1)0.5001/(1+1)0.500
2:12/(2+1)0.6671/(2+1)0.333
3:13/(3+1)0.7501/(3+1)0.250
4:14/(4+1)0.8001/(4+1)0.200
1:21/(1+2)0.3332/(1+2)0.667

Probability To Odds Conversion Formula

PWin = A / (A + B)

Where:

  • A represents favorable outcomes
  • B represents unfavorable outcomes
  • A:B represents the odds ratio for winning

Let’s say you have odds of 3:2 for winning a game:

  • A = 3 (favorable outcomes)
  • B = 2 (unfavorable outcomes): PWin = 3 / (3 + 2) PWin = 3/5 PWin = 0.60 or 60%
This means there's a 60% probability of winning with 3:2 odds.

Probability of Losing Formula (A:B)

The Probability of Losing Formula complements the winning probability and uses the same odds notation:

PLose = B / (A + B)

Where:

  • A remains the favorable outcomes
  • B remains the unfavorable outcomes
  • A:B still represents the odds ratio for winning

With 3:2 odds:

PLose = 2 / (3 + 2)
PLose = 2/5
PLose = 0.40 or 40%

Verification of Formulas

Check is that PWin + PLose should always equal 1 (or 100%):

PWin + PLose = [A/(A+B)] + [B/(A+B)] = (A+B)/(A+B) = 1

Let’s explore various odds scenarios using both formulas:

  • Even Odds (1:1)
    • PWin = 1/(1+1) = 0.50 (50%)
    • PLose = 1/(1+1) = 0.50 (50%)
  • Favorable Odds (4:1)
    • PWin = 4/(4+1) = 0.80 (80%)
    • PLose = 1/(4+1) = 0.20 (20%)
  • Unfavorable Odds (1:3)
    • PWin = 1/(1+3) = 0.25 (25%)
    • PLose = 3/(1+3) = 0.75 (75%)

How to Convert Probability To Odds

Step-by-Step Conversion Process

  • Start with the probability (P)
  • Calculate A:B ratio using:
    • If P is probability of winning:P = A/(A+B)
    • Solve for A:B ratio

Let’s convert a 75% (0.75) probability to odds:

  • Given:
    • P = 0.75
    • Using PWin = A/(A+B)
  • Solve for ratio: 0.75 = A/(A+B) 0.75(A+B) = A 0.75A + 0.75B = A 0.75B = 0.25A B = (0.25A)/0.75 B = A/3
  • Therefore: A:B = 3:1, this means 3 favorable outcomes for every 1 unfavorable outcome

Converting 0.40 Probability to Odds

  • Given:
    • P = 0.40
    • Using PWin = A/(A+B)
  • Solve for ratio: 0.40 = A/(A+B) 0.40(A+B) = A 0.40A + 0.40B = A 0.40B = 0.60A B = (0.60A)/0.40 B = 1.5A
  • Therefore: A:B = 2:3, this means 2 favorable outcomes for every 3 unfavorable outcomes

Verification Table

Initial ProbabilityCalculation StepsResulting OddsVerification
0.750.75 = A/(A+B)3:13/(3+1) = 0.75
0.400.40 = A/(A+B)2:32/(2+3) = 0.40
0.600.60 = A/(A+B)3:23/(3+2) = 0.60
0.250.25 = A/(A+B)1:31/(1+3) = 0.25

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